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Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky University · 2026 · Conference USA

Efficiency
-20.1
133rd FBS
Record
0-2
Conf. record
Conf. finish
10th
proj. of 10
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Western Kentucky is 0-2 and ranked 133rd in overall efficiency. Their 98th-ranked offense is the engine, backed by a 136th-ranked defense. They pass the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 128th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 129th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
+1 left
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-0
Q4
0-1
+9 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.2 wins
Strength of Record
126th
-1.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
10th
full season
86th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
124th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ NevadaMountain West#114L 1449-11.60%-39.7Q4
2@ GeorgiaSEC#9L 2070-42.00%-33.4Q1
3@ IndianaBig Ten#5Preview-45.90%Q1
4vs MercyhurstNECPreview+23.291%Q4
5@ New Mexico StateConference USA#120Preview-8.331%Q4
6vs Missouri StateConference USA#99Preview-9.828%Q4
7@ Sam HoustonConference USA#123Preview-8.032%Q4
9vs DelawareConference USA#82Preview-13.921%Q4
10@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#111Preview-12.423%Q4
11vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#85Preview-13.022%Q4
12@ LibertyConference USA#117Preview-9.429%Q4
13vs Kennesaw StateConference USA#125Preview-1.946%Q4

2 played · 0-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Western Kentucky, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.5-19.7-2.9-40-33Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 128th
SR 110thYPP 133rdEPA 124th
RushingEff 129th
SR 120thYPP 118thEPA 132nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 138th
SR 122ndYPP 138thEPA 136th
Rush defenseEff 138th
SR 136thYPP 138thEPA 138th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo -4.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 72nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 56%1st2nd · Offense: 28%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 64%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 0.0Q1 · Allowed: 35.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 14.0Q2 · Allowed: 35.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 0.0Q3 · Allowed: 21.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 21.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWestern KentuckyOffenseDefense
Western Kentucky Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 98th
-4.1
Field position: -2.2Finishing drives: -1.9
Field position -2.2Finishing drives -1.9= -4.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 134th · Finishing 81st

Defensive EffRanked 136th
-10.5
Field position: -2.6Finishing drives: -7.9
Field position -2.6Finishing drives -7.9= -10.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 134th · Finishing 130th

1.21 points per drive on offense, 3.75 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(37)59% / 41%38%3.1
Q2(40)40% / 60%38%4.1
Q3(40)63% / 38%30%3.4
Q4(35)49% / 51%46%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(27)10.033%2.7
2nd(25)9.016%2.2
3rd(26)9.150%6.1
4th(2)3.0100%5.5
All (80)35%3.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(36)9.847%5.1
2nd(25)7.240%4.1
3rd(10)6.420%3.4
4th(1)2.00%0.0
All (72)40%4.4

Western Kentucky, all games.